Calculate pseudo-residuals
pseudo_res.Rd
For HMMs, pseudo-residuals are used to assess the goodness-of-fit of the model. These are based on the cumulative distribution function (CDF) $$F_{X_t}(x_t) = F(x_t \mid x_1, \dots, x_{t-1}, x_{t+1}, \dots, x_T)$$ and can be used to quantify whether an observation is extreme relative to its model-implied distribution.
This function calculates such residuals via probability integral transform, based on the local state probabilities obtained by stateprobs
or stateprobs_g
and the respective parametric family.
Usage
pseudo_res(
obs,
stateprobs,
dist,
par,
normal = TRUE,
discrete = NULL,
randomise = TRUE,
seed = NULL
)
Arguments
- obs
vector of continuous-valued observations (of length n)
- stateprobs
matrix of local state probabilities for each observation (of dimension c(n,N), where N is the number of states) as computed by
stateprobs
,stateprobs_g
orstateprobs_p
- dist
character string specifying which parametric CDF to use (e.g.,
"norm"
for normal or"pois"
for Poisson)- par
named parameter list for the parametric CDF
Names need to correspond to the parameter names in the specified distribution (e.g.
list(mean = c(1,2), sd = c(1,1))
for a normal distribution and 2 states). This argument is as flexible as the parametric distribution allows. For example you can have a matrix of parameters with one row for each observation and one column for each state.- normal
logical, if
TRUE
, returns Gaussian pseudo residualsThese will be approximately standard normally distributed if the model is correct.
- discrete
logical, if
TRUE
, computes discrete pseudo residuals (which slightly differ in their definition)By default, will be determined using
dist
argument, but only works for standard discrete distributions. When used with a special discrete distribution, set toTRUE
manually. Seepseudo_res_discrete
for details.- randomise
for discrete pseudo residuals only. Logical, if
TRUE
, return randomised pseudo residuals. Recommended for discrete observations.- seed
for discrete pseudo residuals only. Integer, seed for random number generation
Details
When used for discrete pseudo-residuals, this function is just a wrapper for pseudo_res_discrete
.
Examples
## continuous-valued observations
obs = rnorm(100)
stateprobs = matrix(0.5, nrow = 100, ncol = 2)
par = list(mean = c(1,2), sd = c(1,1))
pres = pseudo_res(obs, stateprobs, "norm", par)
## discrete-valued observations
obs = rpois(100, lambda = 1)
stateprobs = matrix(0.5, nrow = 100, ncol = 2)
par = list(lambda = c(1,2))
pres = pseudo_res(obs, stateprobs, "pois", par)
#> Discrete pseudo-residuals are calculated
#> Randomised between lower and upper